Zhao, Yi; Guan, Kaiyu; Shukla, S, Chen, Min, Davis, Steven: Changes in cropping patterns during the 2012-2015 Californian mega drought: a case study of Kern County, Environmental Research Letters.
Pomposi, C., Funk, C., Shukla, S., Harrison, L., and T. Magadzire, Distinguishing Southern Africa precipitation response by strength of El Niño events and implications for decision-making. Environmental Research Letters.
Chris Funk, Laura Harrison, S. Shukla,Catherine Pomposi, Gideon Galu, Diriba Korecha, Gregory Husak, Tamuka Magadzire, Frank Davenport, Chris Hillbruner, Gary Eilerts, Benjamin Zaitchik and James Verdin: Examining the role of unusually warm Indo-Pacific sea surface temperatures in recent African droughts: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
Published/Accepted
2017
Shukla, S., Daniel McEvoy, Mike Hobbins, Greg Husak, Justin Huntington, Chris Funk, Denis Macharia and James Verdin: Examining the value of global seasonal reference evapotranspiration forecasts to support FEWS NET’s food insecurity outlooks, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology (In press).
Davenport F, K. Grace, C. Funk, S. Shukla, 2017: Child health outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa: A comparison of changes in climate and socio-economic factors, Global Environmental Change, Volume 46, September 2017, Pages 72-87, ISSN 0959-3780, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.04.009 (http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016302667)
Chris Funk, Frank Davenport, Laura Harrison, Tamuka Magadzire, Gideon Galu, Guleid A. Artan, S. Shukla, Diriba Korecha, Matayo Indeje, Catherine Pomposi, Denis Macharia and Gregory Husak: Anthropogenic warming of sea surface temperatures contributes to droughts and food insecurity in Southern Africa and East Africa: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (Explaining Extreme Events from a Climate Perspective) (Accepted)
Amy McNally, Kristi Arsenault, Sujay Kumar, S. Shukla, Pete Peterson, Shugong Wang, Chris Funk, Christa D. Peters-Lidard & James P. Verdin: A land data assimilation system for sub-Saharan Africa food and water security applications. Scientific Data 4, Article number: 170012, doi:10.1038/sdata.2017.12
A Hoell, AE Gaughan, S Shukla, T Magadzire: The Hydrologic Effects of Synchronous El Niño Southern Oscillation and Subtropical Indian Ocean Dipole Events over Southern Africa. Journal of Hydrometeorology. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0294.1
2016
Chris Funk, Laura Harrison, S. Shukla, Andrew Hoell, Diriba Korecha, Tamuka Magadzire, Gregory Husak, and Gideon Galu: Assessing the Contributions of Local and East Pacific Warming to the 2015 droughts in Ethiopia and Southern Africa. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. Vol. 97, No. 12. S75-S80. BAMS-D-16-0167.1
Shukla, S., J. Roberts, A. Hoell, C. C. Funk, F. Robertson and B. Kirtman: Assessing North American multimodel ensemble (NMME) seasonal forecast skill to assist in the early warning of anomalous hydrometeorological events over East Africa. Climate Dynamics. 1-17. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3296-z
McNally, A., S. Shukla, K. Arsenault, S. Wang, C. Peters-Lidard, and J. P Verdin: Evaluating ESA CCI soil moisture in East Africa. 48, 96–109, International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation. doi:10.1016/j.jag.2016.01.001.
S. Madadgar, A. AghaKouchak, S. Shukla, A. W. Wood, L. Cheng, S. Sorooshian, K. Hsu, M. Svoboda: A Hybrid Statistical Dynamical Drought Prediction Framework: Application to the Southwestern United States. Water Resources Research. 52, 5095–5110, doi:10.1002/2015WR018547
Hoell A., C. Funk and S. Shukla: Recent and possible future variations in the North American Monsoon. The Monsoons and Climate Change, Springer Climate. 149-162.
Funk, C, A. Hoell, G. Husak, S. Shukla and J. Michelson: The East African monsoon system: seasonal climatologies and recent variations. The Monsoons and Climate Change, Springer Climate. 163-185.
2015
Shukla, S., A. Steinemann, S.F. Iacobellis and D.R. Cayan: Annual Drought in California: Association with Monthly Precipitation and Climate Phases. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 54, 2273–2281. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0167.1
Shukla, S.**, M. Safeeq, A. AghaKouchak, K. Guan, and C. Funk, 2015: Temperature Impacts on the Water Year 2014 Drought in California. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, doi: 10.1002/2015GL063666.http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL063666/abstract (** Ranked in the top 5% of all articles scored by Almetric http://wiley.altmetric.com/details/3983651)
C. Funk, P. Peterson, M. Landsfeld, D. Pedreros, J. Verdin, S. Shukla, G. Husak and L. Harrison:A new environmental record for monitoring hydrologic extremes. Nat. Sci. Data. 2, 150066. doi:10.1038/sdata.2015.66. http://www.nature.com/articles/sdata201566
Hoell, A., S. Shukla, M. Barlow, F. Cannon, C. Kelley and C. Funk 2015: The Forcing of Monthly Precipitation Variability over Southwest Asia During the Boreal Cold Season. J. Clim. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00757.1 http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00757.1
Safeeq, M., S. Shukla, I. Arismendi, G. Grant, S. Lewis, and A. Nolin: Influence of winter season climate variability winter season climate variability on snow precipitation ratio in the Western U.S. Intl. J. Clim. doi:10.1002/joc.4545 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4545/full
Grace, K., F. Davenport, H. Hanson, C. Funk, and S. Shukla: Examining the Relationship between Temperature, Rainfall and Low Birth Weight in sub-Saharan Africa. Glob. Env. Change. 25 (125-137), doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.010. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378015300066
Funk, C., S. Shukla, A. Hoell and B. Livneh: Assessing the contributions of East African and west Pacific warming to the 2014 boreal spring East African drought. Bull. Am. Met. Soc. (Climate Attribution issue) https://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/explaining-extreme-events-from-a-climate-perspective/toc/16-assessing-the-contributions-of-east-african-and-west-pacific-warming-to-the-2014-boreal-spring-east-african-drought/
2014
Shukla, S., C. Funk and A. Hoell, 2014: Using constructed analogs to improve the skill of National Multi-Model Ensemble March–April–May precipitation forecasts in equatorial East Africa. Env. Res. Letters, 9, 094009 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/9/094009.
Shukla, S., McNally, A., Husak, G., and Funk, C. 2014: A seasonal agricultural drought forecast system for food-insecure regions of East Africa, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3907-3921, doi:10.5194/hess-18-3907-2014.
Funk, C., Hoell, A., Shukla, S., Bladé, I., Liebmann, B., Roberts, J. B., Robertson, F. R., and Husak, G. 2014: Predicting East African spring droughts using Pacific and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature indices, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 4965-4978, doi:10.5194/hess-18-4965-2014, 2014.
Nijssen, B., S. Shukla, C. Lin, H. Gao, T. Zhou, J. Sheffield, E. F. Wood, D. P. Lettenmaier, 2014: A prototype Global Drought Information System based on multiple land surface models, J. Hydrometeorol. doi: doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-090.1.
2013
Funk, C., Husak, G., Michaelsen, J., Shukla, S., Hoell, A., Lyon, B., Hoerling, M. P., Liebmann, B., Zhang, T., Verdin, J., Galu, G., Eilerts, G., and Rowland, J.: Attribution of 2012 and 2003-12 rainfall deficits in eastern Kenya and southern Somalia, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc.,95, S45–S48, 2013.
Shukla, S., and D. P. Lettenmaier, 2013: Multi-RCM ensemble downscaling of NCEP CFS winter season forecasts: Implications for seasonal hydrologic forecast skill, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118,10,770–10,790, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50628.
Shukla, S., Sheffield, J., Wood, E. F., and Lettenmaier, D. P., 2013: On the sources of global land surface hydrologic predictability, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2781-2796, doi:10.5194/hess-17-2781-2013.
2012
Mo, K. C., S. Shukla, D. P. Lettenmaier, and L.-C. Chen. 2012. Do climate forecast system (CFSv2) forecasts improve seasonal soil moisture prediction?, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2012GL053598.
Shukla, S., N. Voisin, and D. P. Lettenmaier, 2012:Value of medium range weather forecasts in the improvement of seasonal hydrologic prediction skill,Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 2825-2838, doi:10.5194/hess-16-2825-2012.
Mo, K. C., L. Chen, S. Shukla, T. Bohn, and D. P. Lettenmaier. 2012: Uncertainties in North American Land Data Assimilation Systems over the Contiguous United States, J. Hydrometeor., 13(3), doi:10.1175/JHM-D-11-0132.1.
2011
Shukla, S., and D. P. Lettenmaier. 2011. Seasonal hydrologic prediction in the United States: understanding the role of initial hydrologic conditions and seasonal climate forecast skill. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 15, 3529-3538, doi:10.5194/hess-15-3529-2011.
Shukla, S., A. C. Steinemann, and D. P. Lettenmaier. 2011. Drought monitoring for Washington state: Indicators and Applications. J. Hydrometeor. 12: 66–83, 10.1175/2010JHM1307.1.
Muñoz Arriola, F., S. Rabadán, J. Humberto, M. Rocchiccioli, Heléne, S. Shukla, G. D. Reyes, A. L. Sánchez, and René. 2011. Surface hydrology in Grijalva river basin: Calibration of the Variable Infiltration Capacity model (VIC). Aqua-LAC. 3(1): 68 - 80.
2009
Munoz-Arriola, F., S. Shukla, T. Bohn, C. Zhu, B. Livneh, D.P. Lettenmaier, R. Lobato-Sanchez and A. WagnerGomez. 2009: Forecasting Surface Hydrology in North America, Border Climate Summary, July 13th: 1-5.
Mishra, V., K. Cherkauer, and S. Shukla. 2009. Assessment of drought due to historic climate variability and projected future climate change in the Midwestern United States. J. Hydrometeor. 11: 46-68, 10.1175/2009JHM1156.1.
2008
Shukla, S. and A.W. Wood. 2008. Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought. Geophys. Res. Letters. 35: L02405, doi:10.1029/2007GL032487.